CNN and Chris Cillizza say Joe Biden has problems, but you’d be surprised if the Democrats don’t have a major meltdown.
The race will not be won by independents in 2022 or 2024.
Cillizza can see the flashing neon lights right now that could spell trouble for Biden.
The evidence of Biden’s erosion with independents is legion:
* Just 32% of independents approved of how Biden is handling his job while 60% disapprove in a new Quinnipiac University national poll.
* An Associated Press/NORC national poll at the end of September showed Biden at just 38% approval among independents — down a whopping 24 percentage points since just July.
* Just 39% of independents approved of the job Biden is doing as president in a NPR/PBS/Marist College poll released last month.
Cillizza adds that it is important to have independents, looking back at recent history. Cillizza points out that independents were 54% to 42% more likely to vote for Democrats in 2018 than they were when they took the majority of seats. The Republicans took 13 House seats in 2014 and won independents with a margin of 54% to 42%. The Republicans won 63 seats in 2010, compared to 19 for the independents.
Cillizza can be wrong very often, and I almost never agree with him about anything. But he’s definitely on target here that Biden has a big problem, and it’s not just because he’s agreeing with me. It’s hard to get around how deadly these numbers are for the Democratic hopes, when the opinion of Biden is so in the basement. As we saw, in the case with even one of his great friends, Terry McAuliffe who is running for governor in Virginia, McAuliffe acknowledged they had an issue because of Biden’s unpopularity in the state.
Terry McAuliffe should be shaking from the weight of these numbers. Biden’s approval rating with Independents in Quinnipiac’s national poll was 32%. His approval rating with Independents in Virginia according to the most recent Fox News poll is 31%.https://t.co/GF2FwBBReV
— Tom Bevan (@TomBevanRCP) October 6, 2021
The problem for Biden is that it isn’t just them not liking him on one issue. He’s getting bad numbers across the board on all the major issues — the border, Afghanistan, foreign policy, and the economy. Perhaps most importantly of all, he’s in the basement on whether people even think he’s competent. That’s a hard thing to get around.