There’s been a major shift when it comes to the governor’s race in Virginia over the past two weeks.
We reported that Terry McAuliffe is ahead of Youngkin in the Real Clear Politics polls, just days before the election.
That’s in part due to a stunning Fox poll which shows Youngkin up over McAuliffe by eight percent. As Fox notes, that’s basically a complete reversal of the race from two weeks ago. McAuliffe was up at 51-46% two weeks ago. Now, however, it’s Youngkin up, 53-45% among likely voters.
That’s a stunning move within two weeks and it’s beyond the margin of error. Youngkin leads among registered voters, at one percent.
It is the education questions that have made a difference, which has fueled the GOP base and brought in Democrats as well as independents. McAuliffe is still trying to defend his campaign-killing comment that parents “shouldn’t be telling schools what they should teach.” Meanwhile, 79 percent of Youngkin supporters are “extremely” interested in the election compared to 69 percent of McAuliffe supporters.
A big shift in the perception of parents is that McAuliffe was ahead 10 weeks ago, but Youngkin is ahead 14 weeks later. That’s a huge shift, with Youngkin the person they trust more on education by 12 points.
After they started to look at McAuliffe and Youngkin, it was apparent that they liked the things they saw about Youngkin.
According to the Fox poll, he’s also moved up to even on the coronavirus (from 12 points down), economy (up by 11 from tied), handling crime (up by 12).
#BREAKINGA new Fox poll asked who would be a better teacher and entrepreneur.
Among parents, Youngkin DESTROYS McAuliffe, 52% over 40%.
Youngkin also leads the economic race by 11%#VAgov pic.twitter.com/lpkneQZTNV
— Curtis Houck (@CurtisHouck) October 28, 2021
Biden is underwater in Virginia and that’s going to hurt McAuliffe. Indeed, his approval numbers, 43-56% look similar to the poll numbers we’re talking about today in the governor’s race.
#BREAKING: New Fox News poll also has Biden’s *disapproval* rating at a whopping 56% and approval at just 43%#VAgov pic.twitter.com/HH8zXnvciq
— Curtis Houck (@CurtisHouck) October 28, 2021
It’s a big indictment of the failure to listen to parents and what they care about. That’s biting McAuliffe and right at the most critical time in the campaign. He’s also not doing a great job when he continues to insult voters. It’s still going to be very tight but this is an astonishing move that shows Youngkin can take this and it’s going to further energize up the Republican base.
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