Wyoming’s Republican primary voters have shown great support for Rep. Liz Cheney (R, Wyoming). She got walloped by 38 points by Trump-endorsed Harriet Hageman, who spent more time on the issues Wyoming cared about and wasn’t obsessed with getting Donald Trump like Cheney.
Cheney, after losing in a stunning fashion, then said that she thought about running for President, an insane ambition with little promise of success.
“I’ll make a decision in the coming months.” — Rep. Liz Cheney said about possibly running for President. pic.twitter.com/b2SjAYVN2W
— TODAY (@TODAYshow) August 17, 2022
She could not win the Republican nomination. She could only run as a third-party candidate, and she wouldn’t have a chance. But she somehow thinks she’s going to take on Trump and prevent him from becoming president again in 2024.
But if she did that, I would think it would be more likely that that would help Trump than Biden, because she’s closer to Biden in people’s minds. Turns out, now there’s a poll that supports that thought.
A new You Gov poll shows that in a Biden/Trump/Cheney three-way race, Cheney works in Trump’s favor, drawing more people away from Biden than from Trump, and that she helps deliver Trump a comfortable victory.
Trump, however, would be able to suddenly jump to a 8-point advantage over Biden in a third-party race with Cheney, who is an independent on the ballot, and he would win, 42% to 32%.
Cheney has 11% support in that situation. The problem for Biden is that nearly all of Cheney’s votes come at his expense — and there are enough of them, in theory, to put Trump over the top.
Making up Cheney’s 11 percent of the vote — 69 percent would come from Biden, while just 15 percent came from those likely to vote for Trump.
It makes perfect sense. People who have never voted for Trump would be the only ones who vote Cheney. But they might still vote for Biden. Her constituency is not real.
What a sweet irony it would be to vote for Trump after her many failed attempts to derail him. This would make the perfect end to her obsession.
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