Is the Democrat Party on the rebound heading into November’s mid-term elections? If the latest CBS News poll is any indication, the answer is a resounding “no.”
Despite proclamations that Joe Biden is “back in the game” and that the left is enjoying a bump following the overturning of Roe v. Wade, the survey provides red flag after red flag for Democrats. And while the CBS News shows have spent Sunday morning trying their hardest to spin the findings by focusing heavily on female opposition to Republicans over abortion, even that “good news” for Democrats is tempered by a lack of enthusiasm.
CBS NEWS POLL: There’s a gender gap on enthusiasm: Women are LESS likely than men to say they’re very ENTHUSIASTIC about voting. pic.twitter.com/1TXI0GuEqb
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 31, 2022
CBS NEWS POL: Dems face a problem in younger voters and low turnout
Younger voters are the most supportive of Democrats – and the LEAST LIKELY TO TURN OUT. These voters are less likely to feel enthusiastic about voting than those older. pic.twitter.com/kcPvbV45jz— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 31, 2022
Democrats and their media allies believe that every election cycle they will turn out young voters to shift the elections. That plan is a failure in every election cycle. It looks like that’ll happen again in November, with under-30 voters being, by far, the least enthusiastic demographic for the mid-terms.
Liberal wine-moms, while being passionate about abortion, are suffering from a lackluster enthusiasm. A lack of enthusiasm can lead to what? It leads to decreased turnout, something Democrats can’t afford given their epic collapse among Hispanic voters, which is also reflected in this poll.
CBS POLL – Democrats have a lower margin of victory with Hispanic voters than recent elections.
Trends in Hispanic Voters
2018 midterms*: D 69%, R 29% (D+40)
2022 midterms: D 45%, R 42% (D+3)*CNN exit poll linkhttps://t.co/zMxrBDcOJ4 pic.twitter.com/URLC83CShz
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 31, 2022
That is correct. You are correct. 40-point gap with Hispanic voters since 2018, bringing it to just three points in 2022, and there’s every reason to think things could continue to shift further before the votes are cast. Democrats have lost a significant demographic advantage to woke-ism in the past two elections. To consolidate these gains with suburban white females, I believe it was worthwhile.
There’s more bad news, though. The issue of January 6th is not being addressed by anyone except Democrats.
How about the 6th of January?
The Democratic base is already voting Democratic so it’s very important right now. On par with other issues, 76% say that it will make a difference in how they vote. Just 15% of Reps call it important. https://t.co/cp45VW0vKA pic.twitter.com/3ZChGfEveb
— CBS News Poll (@CBSNewsPoll) July 31, 2022
If you are asking why 15 percent of Republicans think January 6th is important to their vote, it’s almost certainly because they disapprove of the select committee, and with only 45 percent of independents saying its a factor, the issue is just not a gamechanger for Democrats. The polarization of the issue will only get worse if we continue to delay the hearings until November. That’s the corner Democrats have painted themselves into. They’ve obsessed over issues that don’t move the dial, and that will end poorly for them.
As to the overall numbers, CBS News projects the electorate will be four points in the GOP’s favor. That’s an exact flip from what they found in 2018, where Democrats held a four-point advantage.
CBS NEWS: ELECTORATE TENDS
Democrats +4 in 2018
2022: Republicans+4https://t.co/nv3ehAOF61 pic.twitter.com/LoSdo6uLHn— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 31, 2022
There’s just nothing here for Democrats to hang their hat on. Yes, college-educated white women still love them, but that’s been baked into the cake for a long time now. This massive change in Hispanic votes will put many seats up for grabs that used to favour Democrats. Meanwhile, inflation and the economy continue to be the top issues for voters, and that’s not going to improve significantly anytime soon.
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