We’re just a few short months away from the midterm elections which, if polling and the sentiment of most Americans are reliable indicators, are going to be absolutely brutal for Democrats looking to maintain their razor-thin majorities in the House and Senate.
The writing on the wall is so bad for Democrats right now that there’s an open rebellion taking place within, with frustrated Democrats angrily pointing to Joe Biden – and each other – as the reasons why they are predicted to lose a not so insignificant number of seats and perhaps even their hold on Congress come the fall in what some have predicted might be “historic” midterm election year losses for a president’s party.
But though much of the focus for Republicans looking to capitalize on America’s rejection of the Biden agenda has been in competitive/swing/battleground districts and states, there’s another effort underfoot to try and expand on their anticipated November victories by targeting Democrats in deep blue “safe” House districts where Joe Biden’s approval ratings are underwater:
Just four months before the midterms began, Democrats had already taken the offensive in more than 30 districts that were highly competitive. But Biden’s toxicity has given the GOP optimism about seriously contesting a fresh crop of about a dozen seats that the president won in 2020 by 9 points or more — from western Rhode Island to California’s Central Valley to the suburbs of Arizona’s capital.
The House map has become a difficult place for Democrats. POLITICO survey data shows that the president is underwater in eleven districts where he carries.
Democrats are in such a bad mood that strategists believe there is potential for bluer districts, even ones Biden won by double-digits just two years ago. This includes the seats currently held by Jahana Hayes and Rep. Greg Stanton, both Democrats from Arizona and Connecticut; the seats that were left vacant by Josh Harder (D.Calif.) as well as Sean Patrick Maloney (D.N.Y.), and those represented by Ed Perlmutter (D.Colo.) who retired.
NEW: Biden’s popularity is forcing deep blue seats to play for Rs., who now want turf the pres were won by double digits
— Ally Mutnick (@allymutnick) July 11, 2022
Add to this the continued shift of Hispanics from Democrats to Republicans, especially those in working class/blue-collar communities who feel abandoned by an increasingly “woke” party that they feel takes them for granted, and that’s an absolute recipe for disaster for Democrats who thought the Capitol riot show trials and the Supreme Court ruling that overturned Roe v. WadeThey would be the pushes that motivated their base voters towards the polls.
Of course, it ain’t over ’til it’s over, but rumor has it that the rather stout lady in the far left corner of the club can be heard warming up.
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