A variety of data points are available from different sources. These should all help to explain, barring any miracles, why the Democrats have thoroughly screwed this election cycle. Each one of these data points comes from sources that aren’t exactly friendly to Republicans, making the data all the more damning.
From a CNN/SSRS poll released Monday, when asked if Joe Biden has had the right priorities during his term, only 29 percent of white voters thought so, with 71 percent saying he’s ignored the most important issues. What’s worse, only 35 percent of voters of color think he’s had the right priorities, with 64 percent saying he’s been off the mark.
Even a poll conducted by the nation’s top teacher unions shows that Ron DeSantis is well-liked among his constituents. This forced the union to ask teachers to alter their talk points.
The day before his speech, one of the national teacher unions that opposes him released a battleground-state survey showing voters approve of DeSantis’ education policy positions, and even some of his rhetoric.
American Federation of Teachers distributed the Hart Research poll as an appeal to its members and allies. It asked them to put more emphasis on popular ideas like increasing school funding and decreasing class size, while ignoring cultural-related fights.
According to a poll, 32 percent more voters would choose candidates who think public schools should place less emphasis on teaching race than on core subjects. These voters overwhelmingly favored banning schools from teaching gender identity and sexual orientation to students in the kindergarten-third grade. By 28 points, they said transgender athletes should be banned from competing in girls’ sports.
New polling in Georgia shows that Brian Kemp is enjoying unexpected results, even among minority voters.
Breaking news: Kemp has crushed Abrams in Georgia’s Hispanic- and Asian-American communities. These two groups suffered the greatest economic damage after Abrams forced MLB to relocate the All-Star Game out of Georgia. 25 percent of African-American men are now voting for Kemp. More coming…
— Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) July 19, 2022
Kemp is winning college-educated votes, Hispanic women and Hispanic men, Asian women and Hispanic men, as well as white voters. While he’s losing black vote, 25% of the black men younger than 35 years are still with Kemp.
— Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) July 19, 2022
As I said on Monday, both Hispanic and working-class voters know that Democrats are not interested in the social issues of Hispanics.
Hispanic voters and working-class voters are increasingly at odds with strong progressive Democrats, and the latter’s push for social change is also pushing Hispanic voters at a much higher rate than they did working-class voters ahead of 2016. In the year Trump was elected, union households were split on who to vote for, which helped hand blue-collar states to Trump and break the Democrats’ hold over the rust belt.
However, now you also have Hispanic votes who are not only unhappy with President Joe Biden’s agenda, but actually support Republicans on crucial issues. Hispanic voters are key to Democrats’ success in the southern states of Texas, Florida and other rust belt states. Working class voters have long been the backbone for Democrats. But Hispanic voters of all origins started breaking for Republicans — and Trump, in particular — in the last few election cycles. Trump won the support of working class voters who were upset by Obama’s attack on mining and factory jobs.
All of these factors are combined to paint a terrible picture for Democrats. Demographic groups they have held on to for many decades are now being lost.
Democrats have long believed that “demography is destiny” — that if they just build a multicultural coalition utilizing shifting demographics in the country, they’d obtain a permanent political majority. But there’s a problem: Democrats then switched to all identity politics and extreme takes on social issues that end up pushing many of those demographic groups away.
They’ve whizzed by this particular cemetery all the time. Donald Trump is a hated president who has been called the most racist, corrupt, and unfit to lead. However, Trump’s support continues to grow among Hispanic, and black voters. Republicans in Florida and Texas with large Hispanic populations are winning larger parts of those votes.
Voters of color are increasingly dissatisfied about Biden. Working class voters are beginning to lose faith in Democratic politicians from swing states. Their base is vanishing ahead of the November midterms.
The destiny of demography isn’t what it seems. It turns out that you must actually work in order to retain those votes. To do this, you will need to understand what they want from their elected officials.