Walmart released a profit warning Monday. It warned that Walmart’s second quarter operating income would fall below expectations and will show a decrease of around 13 percent. The announcement quickly caused other major US retailers’ stocks to plunge, wiping out over $100 billion in stock market value in after-hours trading. This is how after-hours traders work, according to Investopedia.
Per Reuters
Walmart’s stock tumbled over 9% in extended trade, and other big retailers also sold off. Target (TGT.N)fell over 5% and Amazon (AMZN.O) was down about 4%. Meanwhile Costco Wholesale Corp (COST.O), Best Buy (BBY.N), Dollar General (DG.N) and Dollar Tree (DLTR.O) each declined more than 3%. Home Depot (HD.N) fell almost 2%.
This comes as President Biden and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen continue to deny that a recession is coming—or is already here—and the administration even trying to change the definition of the word recession.
There’s also no inflation…. https://t.co/aPbVPggRiJ
— Ted Cruz (@tedcruz) July 24, 2022
They can deny it all they want, but it as the old saying goes, “if it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, then it probably is a duck.” And this is probably a recession. The Wall Street Journal is worried:
The warning casts a cloud over a week when a raft of global brands and multinational companies, from McDonald’s and Procter & Gamble Co. to Visa Inc. and General Motors Co., are slated to update investors on their latest quarterly results and the outlook for the rest of the year.
Final heat map of the S&P 500’s performance from today pic.twitter.com/aAnbToAWQ4
— Stock Market News (@StockMKTNewz) July 25, 2022
Monday’s after-hours slide means that the S&P 500 retailing index (.SPXRT) has now fallen 24 percent for the year. Even the New York Times can’t hide the bad news, and admits that Biden’s inflation is the number one culprit:
Another sign that inflation is destabilizing businesses and consumers is the announcement made by the Federal Reserve after the stock market had closed. This week, the Federal Reserve will announce new interest rate hikes to curb inflation. Inflation has reached its highest level in 40 years.
Walmart, Target, and other large retailers have struggled with excess inventory in recent months, as supply chain issues meant some seasonal items arrived on shelves too late, while consumers have pulled back on shopping—especially on luxury items as inflation and worry about the future dominated their decisions. The Journal
While U.S. unemployment remains near its lowest levels in decades, consumer sentiment fell in June to its lowest point on record, a sign of concern because household spending accounts for about 70% of U.S. economic output. Some shoppers, especially from lower-income households, are trading down to economy beer and discount cigarettes as they feel more pressure on their pocketbooks.
Tuesday is expected to be another day of activity on the markets as more businesses lower their earnings estimates and the Fed increases interest rates. Unfortunately, things in Biden’s economy look like they could get worse before they get better.