A new Morning Consult research poll shows a seven-point decrease over the past five years in those identifying as “very liberal,” “liberal,” or “somewhat liberal.” It dropped from 34 percent to 27 percent. It hasn’t led to a significant increase in the conservative orientation.
Moderate voters seem to be on the rise. David Short, a Democratic Data Scientist, said that:
“The historical march has been that ‘liberal’ is gradually increasing as the secular, college-educated population has increased in a way that’s been divorced from thermostatic forces … If it’s thermostatic backlash, thermostatic backlash affecting ideological identification is new.”
Per the newest Morning Consult’s annual State of the Parties survey, 73 percent of voters view the Democratic Party as liberal, increasing from 67 percent in mid-2017. Seventy-five percent of college-educated voters view the Democratic Party liberal, compared with 62 percent mid-2018. Hispanic voters viewed the Democratic Party liberally by a growing number of people, going from 65 to 75 percent.
In the recent survey, 42 percent of voters said that the Republican Party is “too conservative,” compared to 36 percent saying the party was too conservative in 2017. Forty-five percent of those surveyed said the Democratic Party is “too liberal,” up from 40 percent in 2017.
Patrick Ruffini was a Republican pollster.
“In 2020, with all the talk of a Hispanic shift, and an African American shift to a lesser degree, it was really kind of a shift among Hispanic conservatives. It was like, people already have this fixed ideological predisposition, and they’re just aligning that to their vote choice … But what’s also happening, and reinforcing that, is the underlying ideological tendencies are also shifting in conjunction with, or caused by, vote choice.”
While Democrats identified themselves as liberals dropped to 60 percent from 55 percent, Republicans who identify as conservative rose from 70% to 77 percent.
Independent voters are most likely to identify as moderate. 34% of independent voters identified themselves as moderate in 2017, while 43% identify as moderate now. In 2017, there was a drop in the percentage of independents that lean Democrat/Republican. In 2017, 31% of independents classified themselves as being liberal/slightly progressive. However, this number has dropped to 18%. As for independent-leaning conservatives, in 2017, 31 percent identified as conservative/slightly conservative, compared to 26 percent in 2022.
Ruffini added:
“The Republican Party is a conservative party. Democrats aren’t necessarily liberal parties. The problem is its elite actors are polarized … That’s what the last few years have been about, with Republicans hoping to capitalize on wokeness, the police and left-wing activist trends that get more play on the left than are actually warranted based on who their voters are.”
The independent vote remains in the air during elections; however, this is a better poll for Republicans because more Independents identify as conservative/slightly conservative than as liberal/slightly liberal.
More moderate voters are likely to leave their party if the Biden administration keeps implementing far-left radical policies. Republicans must take this opportunity and convince them to vote for policies that are good for working Americans.
Morning Consult reports that the poll research was done among over 8.6 million respondents since 2017.
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