RedState reported during the first week of march on the claim made by CNN about Joe Biden’s comeback after the disastrously irrelevant State of the Union Address. Chris Cillizza reported that NPR had a poll which showed the president’s approval rising to 47%. Although it was still a small outlier at that time, it created a wider media narrative suggesting that Biden could reverse his fortunes.
We heard similar suggestions of a comeback following Russia’s initial invasion of Ukraine, with the idea that Biden would present himself as a world leader and garner a “rally around the flag” bump. It never happened.
Now, we finally have a poll that measured Biden’s numbers just before Ukraine was invaded as well as nearly a month later, covering a highly relevant time period that confirms the president’s woes have not subsided. Monmouth’s latest survey has the president’s approval unchanged at 39 percent from their pre-Ukraine invasion survey, i.e. the last month’s events provided him zero bounce.
The latest Monmouth poll shows Joe Biden is still approving of his job. It was unchanged in January. 39-54 for adults and 39-55 for registered voters. In the limited extent it existed, the SOTU/Ukraine surge has subsided. https://t.co/CZHjaKBm9y
— Varad Mehta (@varadmehta) March 17, 2022
Who could have guessed that sky-high inflation, exploding gas prices, Europe being invaded by Russia, and a new Iran deal giveaway wouldn’t lead to Biden rising from the ashes? Although it was ridiculous to think that Biden might somehow get more support by showing his leadership during times of crisis, this is absurd. CNN and Chris Cillizza are both correct. AreThis is ridiculous but I digress. When one’s leadership is objectively awful, that is not going to garner them more support, and simply “being president” is not enough to rally Americans anymore in face of hardship and failure.
And while I find this Monmouth poll especially relevant because of the time period and trend involved, lest anyone accuse me of cherry-picking, here are all the polls that have come out in the last week covering Biden’s approval.
Joe Biden should “come back” pic.twitter.com/EZMtbXqGA9
— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) March 17, 2022
Here’s the thing with Biden’s approval numbers. Biden’s approval numbers are even more impressive than they appear. If his aggregate approval was say, 45 percent, that would still be terrible and a prelude to a red wave in November’s election. What that means in the simplest terms is that Biden could have a “comeback” of some sort and still be so far underwater that it won’t matter. That’s what has to have Democrats panicking. This is the only way out, historically as well as logically.
Besides, if a foreign policy distraction like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine can’t garner Biden even a single percent higher on his approval via a unity bounce, what exactly will? The summer will see gas prices remain at their highest levels. If they continue to stabilise, it may be months before the prices begin to drop. Also, record inflation will not disappear anytime soon. It won’t be until 2023 that the real effects of higher interest rates start to manifest.
The Biden presidency will continue its smoldering. Americans don’t buy the lies and Jen Psaki, along with the White House team, will continue to tell them more lies. The more resistance there is, the harder it will be.
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