Gallup Survey on ‘Party Preferences’ Confirms Dems’ Worst Fears About Joe Biden – Opinion

Judging just by the amount of House Democrats qui are leaving the ship in advance of 2022’s midterm elections (currently at 26 with more to come), it seems that Democrats know the signs are on the wall regarding their chances of holding onto the House this year.

Joe’s concerns about inflation, unemployment, and continuing coronavirus epidemic are all important to Joe. Joe’s approval rating dropped from 63% from his first post-inauguration survey to only 33% this week.

Though Biden trotted into the Oval Office in a blaze of glory, propped up by a mainstream media eager to get back to “business as usual” (read: “scratch our backs, we scratch yours” relations) with a Democratic presidential administration, the shiny newness has worn off and the icing is off of the cake, with cold, hard reality rearing its ugly head.

Biden, in fact, isn’t just another politician. It is not the uniter in chief he promised to be, but he’s also a pretty ineffective leader whose priorities are not what they should be and who can’t even bring his own party together to get behind him in passing Democrat agenda items.

Gallup Polling conducted extensive quarterly polls dating back to decades in order to determine voters’ preferences for political parties. These surveys tend to favor Democrats, however, something quite remarkable occurred in the fourth quarter of last year.

On average, Americans’ political party preferences in 2021 looked similar to prior years, with slightly more U.S. adults identifying as Democrats or leaning Democratic (46%) than identified as Republicans or leaned Republican (43%).

However, the general stability for the full-year average obscures a dramatic shift over the course of 2021, from a nine-percentage-point Democratic advantage in the first quarter to a rare five-point Republican edge in the fourth quarter.

[…]

Since 1991, the GOP held a maximum of a five point advantage over its opponents in only four quarters. After gaining control of the House of Representatives in the 1950s, the Republicans had a 5-point lead in party identification/leaning for the last time in 1995. Only the quarter ending in 1991 saw a bigger advantage for Republicans, following the U.S. victory at the Persian Gulf War under the leadership of then-President George H.W. Bush.

Why did the changes occur? Their piece reveals that shifts in presidential preference were linked to a decrease in approval ratings. And Biden’s began falling dramatically in the third quarter as reality set in for voters.

This is something that played out in the Virginia red wave of 2021, where independent voters shifted to Republican gubernatorial nominee Glenn Youngkin in part because they weren’t happy with Joe Biden’s performance so far and wanted to send a message.

It could spell doom for November’s ballot boxes if these trends continue into 2022.

Wow. Since 1930, almost every year since then the GOP has been trailing the Democrats. This will make it nearly impossible for US politics to continue its decline over the next century if this pattern is repeated and held up for an entire calendar year. https://t.co/XABm6yTXLO

— Henry Olsen (@henryolsenEPPC) January 17, 2022

Here is what Democrats fear most: The confirmation that Joe Biden was an awful drag rather than the rescuer needed. Unfortunately for them, not only are their other “drags” on their party (like AOC), but it also appears that there’s no end in sight to the Democratic party’s woes, especially if Sens. Joe Manchin is standing firm for the preservation of the filibuster.

Related –>> ‘Hits Keep Coming’: The Last Four Days for Joe Biden Were Even Worse Than We Thought