The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll is out, and while it’s rarely been kind to the GOP in the past, things have flipped on their head over the last several months. Joe Biden is now at his lowest approval in the series, but that’s not even the worst news for Democrats.
These are the generic numbers for your ballot.
NEW: @ABC/@washingtonpost
President Biden Job Approval
Approve 41%
53% of people disapprove (+2)2022 Generic Congressional Ballot [n=882 RV]
Republicans 51% (+10)
Democrats: 41%1,001 Adults | 11/7-11/10https://t.co/qlpAqozMlD
— PPUSA (@PollProjectUSA) November 14, 2021
A GOP +10 environment isn’t just ripe for a red wave. It’s ripe for a red Tsunami the likes of which we haven’t seen in modern history for Republicans. It could lead to a 60-seat pick up, even though the House is almost evenly split.
While Republicans have a strong chance of winning the lower chamber, numbers from the Senate battleground states put the upper chamber in play.
NEW: @ABC/@washingtonpost
Generic Ballot for 8-State Battleground Generic Ballot
(AZ, FL, GA, NC, NH, NV, PA, WI)Republicans 58% (+23)
Democrats at 35%——
Rest of Country Generic Ballot
Republicans 49% (+7)
Democrats at 42%11/7-11/10| 11/7-11/10
Sample: D27/I37/R26https://t.co/2aMt7U6nM0 https://t.co/bKRfYsa1Bw— PPUSA (@PollProjectUSA) November 14, 2021
That’s right. That’s a GOP +23 result in the states that will decide the Senate next year. Honestly, it’s such a great number for Republicans that I’m prone to dismiss it as too good to be true. Even though the numbers might be off by several points you still have to think about Democrats losing both majorities next Year.
Earlier in the week, Republican Chris Sununu announced he won’t be running for Senate despite being the heavy favorite against Democrat Maggie Hassan. The GOP has a clear advantage in New Hampshire and it is possible that the Republican primaries could result in the winner of that seat. Nevada may be where the real surprise is, however, because of a possible shift in Hispanic support towards the GOP.
And, of course, while isn’t the most shocking or important part of this poll, Joe Biden’s numbers are continuing to absolutely tank. Ron Klain’s tweets about a rebound are now dead. There is no rebound and if I’m placing bets, there won’t be a rebound. This president is not capable of changing the way Bill Clinton did during his first term, and those who truly run the Democrat Party are content to keep doubling down on what’s driving Americans into the arms of Republicans.
Sure, the caveat is always that things could change, but I’m not seeing a scenario where things shift so much that Democrats can save themselves at this point. They’ve dug the hole too deep and the cake is nearly baked. Although the margins might change, it is clear that the GOP will be able to romp next Year.
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