Court-Ordered New York Redistricting Map Is Lights out for Democrats – Opinion

While it’s been clear for a few weeks that Republicans have come out on top regarding redistricting for the coming mid-terms, there was one final piece of the puzzle left. This piece is now complete.

A court-ordered map in New York has been adopted, and it’s lights out for Democrats heading into November. While the original Democrat map, which was struck down by the state’s Supreme Court, had a likely outcome of 22 D-seats to 4-R seats, the new map puts as many as 12 seats in play for the GOP.

Republicans were looking at a modest 1-3 seat gain via redistricting after Ron DeSantis worked his magic in Florida (there’s a single district there under dispute, but nothing that can change the game). The lines that were drawn in the United States could result in a 5 to 8 seat increase. Democrats celebrating court wins a month back have seen their chances of stemming this tide crushed.

The New York City map was influenced by an illegal gerrymander that reduced the vote power of Orthodox Jews in New York City. This demographic leans heavily Republican. That’s left Rep. Jerry Nadler, who would retire if he had any sense given his age and health concerns, in the same district as another Democrat. Republicans in other areas are poised to move forward in what is expected to be a year of great progress.

In the end, the dynamics of the coming election don’t change much, but if 2020 taught us anything, it’s that every seat counts in future elections. In a single cycle, Democrats lost a significant majority and now hold the House by just five seats. While Republicans will gain many seats in this year’s election, they could have more margin for error in 2024 or 2026 to keep control of the house.

Let the chaos ensue. Democrats are already throwing a fit on social media over the New York map, and there’s a lot of crying left to do.

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