Black Support for Trump Surges to 34% in Two Polls — Threatening to Doom Democrats in 2020

Two national public opinion surveys released last week show black support for President Donald Trump hitting levels that would be disastrous for Democrats. 

An Emerson poll released Thursday found Trump’s approval rating at 34.5 percent among registered African American voters.

On Saturday, a Rasmussen Reports poll recorded that 34 percent of black likely voters approve of the president.

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The sample sizes of blacks in both polls were small, and Trump won just 8 percent of the black vote in 2016, continuing the GOP’s decades-long struggle to court black voters. But he did better with African Americans than did Mitt Romney in 2012 or John McCain in 2008.

Prior to last week, Trump’s approval rating among blacks was up to about 10 percent, despite some prominent haters.

Still, given the Democratic Party’s reliance on the black electorate, a moderate Republican shift in the cohort could prove decisive in the next presidential election.

As Real Clear Politics put it October 2018: “Even 20 percent African-American support for Trump would all but dismantle Democratic Party presidential hopes for 2020. Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election with 88 percent of the black vote. That was about a six-point falloff from Barack Obama’s share of the black vote in 2012.”

The president courts African American support with “Black Voters for Trump”

So, as liberals have decried Trump as a racist, the president has redoubled his efforts to court black voters as part of his reelection campaign.

On Nov. 8, Trump kicked off an effort called “Black Voters for Trump” at a conference in Atlanta. Addressing several hundred African American supporters, the president promised to compete beyond his largely white base.

“We’re going to campaign for every last African-American vote in 2020,” he said. “We’ve done more for African-Americans in three years than the broken Washington establishment has done in more than 30 years.”

Trump added that “the Democrat Party already left you a long time ago” and said, “If you don’t want liberal extremists to run your lives, then today we say welcome to the Republican Party.”

A day earlier, Kanye West delivered a similar message at an event in New York.

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“Own your power,” he urged his fellow black Americans. “Your power is not to just vote Democrat for the rest of our lives. That’s not the power. … Our goal is to bring the manufacturing back to America — South America, North America — bring it back stateside and to present jobs for people back here.”

Meanwhile, recent polling has also suggested Americans of all races may be turning against House Democrats’ push to impeach Trump for allegedly abusing his power to pressure Ukraine to investigate his domestic political rivals.

Top pollsters have collectively found support for impeachment falling below 50 percent nationwide. Swing state voters have evinced particularly strong opposition to the president’s removal. A New York Times-Siena College battlegrounds poll released Wednesday determined that majorities in Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona and Florida oppose removing the president from office through impeachment.

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