First Official Numbers Have Liz Cheney Staring at Total Destruction in Wyoming – Opinion

Since jumping headfirst into the fiery dumpster fire of the January 6th committee, Liz Cheney made many new friends. Wyoming Congresswoman Liz Cheney spent most of the past year-and-a half putting up cable news shows and venting about an unsubstantiated plot to overthrow former President Donald Trump’s government.

What Cheney hasn’t done is convince her constituents she deserves to be re-elected. Official polling data has now been released for the Cowboy State. This was done by the Casper Star-Tribune which is the biggest newspaper in Wyoming. The incumbent seems to be looking for total destruction.

Former President Donald Trump’s pick to unseat Rep. Liz Cheney in the race for Wyoming’s lone House seat holds a commanding 22-point lead with a month until the primary, a new Casper Star-Tribune poll shows.

The poll shows that Harriet Hageman, a natural resources lawyer, leads Cheney by 52% to 30%. The support of any other challenger was less than 5%. Only 11% voters were undecided.

The poll, conducted for the Star-Tribune by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, surveyed 1,100 registered Wyoming voters likely to participate in the primary, resulting in a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent, according to Brad Coker, Mason-Dixon managing director.

Cheney, just weeks earlier to the poll’s drop, had stated her belief that she would be reelected. Cheney also teased that she might run for President in 2024. This is a ridiculous idea, and it almost sounds like parody. There’s just no path here for her, though. Twenty-two points is an insurmountable lead for Hageman, and despite Cheney’s attempts to court Democrat voters, there’s not enough of them in Wyoming to save her. The math just doesn’t work, no matter how much resistance porn gets put out there by the national media.

Cheney will not be leaving quietly, however. One month after this article, the primary will take place on August 16, which is one month away. That will leave her about two weeks before the filing deadline to garner enough signatures (about 3,700 under Wyoming rules) to appear on the ballot as an independent, and I bet that’s her plan.

That’s not a path to victory, though. During 2020, the House’s top Democrat candidate received about 66,000 votes. Even if Cheney gets every single one of those votes and pulls a quarter of Republicans, she’d still lose. Cheney won’t get every Wyoming Democrat to support her. Still, there will be a real Democrat who gets a substantial number of blue votes.

That all adds up to more MSNBC hits because Cheney’s career in politics is over. It would take a cataclysmic, unheard-of shift for her to regain her House seat in Wyoming, and talk of her running for president is enough to make one’s sides hurt from laughter.

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