We’ve seen a lot of bad polling for Joe Biden.
It stands to reason that he isn’t doing well with Republicans. But he’s also not doing well across the board with a variety of other groups including independents and Hispanics.
But when he’s also facing trouble in the progressive polls, too, you know it’s bad. One reason for this is because Joe Biden promised much and then gave very little. Even some left-leaning people aren’t happy with the current state of affairs. It is apparent in their reactions against things such as the failed Passage of the Build back Better bill or the CDC guidelines to reduce the COVID isolation period for those who have tested positive.
But the 37 percent approval rating in the Civiqs’ poll — a progressive poll — is bad. It’s worse than the Real Clear Politics average which was already bad enough at 43 percent approval to 54 percent disapproval, and the Trafalgar Group poll that has him at 40.4 approval and 55.9 disapproval; although, the fact that they are so low, too, tends to indicate that Civiqs isn’t an outlier, that it’s on-trend.
— Dr. Nickarama (@nickaramaOG) December 28, 2021
In contrast, Civiqs delivers demographics by the barrel, and … few of them give Biden or Democrats in general any reason to celebrate. In this poll the gap between independents (26/63) is much greater than that of indies. Unlike other recent polling, Biden’s ahead with Hispanics but only 50/39, and only 65% of black voters approve of his job performance. Biden ranks below average in virtually every Civiqs demo. Even among 18-34YOs, he is only 29/55.Women (41/48), post-graduates (42/49), and students (42/49). A consensus was reached for the first time since a while between non-college and college graduates (37.5/55)
It’s gotten worse since we last checked in on the poll. They had just 10 states who approved of Biden as overwater in October. This was enough. But now it’s only five as of today, which means they went underwater and lost five states since then. California, Hawaii (VT), Maryland, Massachusetts, and Massachusetts are all still intact. That’s pretty shocking, if true, and just complete quicksand for him.
California, which went big for Biden just a year ago at 64-34, now has him at just 46 approval to 43 disapproval — more or less even. It also means passing the infrastructure bill didn’t help Biden at all. Indeed, given that he didn’t pass Build Back Better, all the back on forth on the issue might have hurt him with multiple groups including the folks on the left mad that it didn’t pass — and the folks on the right mad that it was even proposed.
You would have to rally the troops in order to survive the next mid-terms. Instead, you have a base that is seriously unhappy with Biden, at the same time everyone else can’t stand him either. That’s looking very bad for the chances for Biden and the Democrats. But Joe being Joe — he always seems to be able to find a way to go lower. So, I wouldn’t be surprised if we came back in a month and he’d lost more states.
This post was last modified on December 28, 2021 4:19 pm
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